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Third Party Candidate Potential

No.668583 View ViewReplyOriginalReport
Would it please /n/ to examine the first polls factoring in both Ron Paul and Michael Bloomberg as third party or independent candidates? If not, too bad, faggots, because here they are:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/will_m
ichael_bloomberg_ron_paul_run_third_party_campaigns_in_2008

At this time, the net impact of such third party efforts appears to benefit the Democrats.

In a head-to-head match-up between Romney and Obama, Obama currently leads by nine percentage points. When Bloomberg and Paul are added to the list of possible candidates, Obama’s lead grows to twelve points, 42% to 30%. Paul attracts 8% of the vote, Bloomberg 6%.

Hillary Clinton leads Romney by five in a head-to-head match-up, but her lead grows to fourteen points with Bloomberg and Paul in the mix—Clinton 46% Romney 32% Bloomberg 7% Paul 7%.

In a McCain-Obama poll, the Democrat leads by five. That grows to seven points with the third party options—Obama 40% McCain 33% Paul 11% Bloomberg 5%.

The pair of third party candidates attract from 13% to 17% of Republicans in each match-up. They earn only 5% to 10% of the Democratic vote.